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Demonetization &cashless transaction...

Friends, parliament has been disrupted since 9days. its not first time for opposition parties marauding the parliament for frivolous reasons. Without any shame or sorrow,the entire band wagon of political crooks opposing the clean up task of the govt. why they are supporting the black money and dirty economy? why they prefer to support the inequality and corruption in the society? what could be done by intellectual groups in this hour of crisis? first of all let us talk... let us try to understand the Modi's Policies. 
Let us talk about our citizen’s earning capacity.  let us find why our country is still lagging behind other countries in median household incomes, though it is a huge economic power on the globe. let us think one minute why our govt demonetize big value notes, even at the cost of suffering of common man ? let us understand the intricacies of unequal distribution of economy and poverty  and lesser quality of life for which the main culprits are corruption, materialism, heaping of black money which crippling us through ballooning of  inflation and avalanche of parallel economy.

we must  not forget, In our country,the average income of those not working in agriculture was 5 times more than those working in agriculture.  we are still one of the poorest large countries in the world on a per capita basis. The average Chinese citizen is over four times richer than the average Indian.

You know, as per National Sample Survey report,that out of every 10 Indian adult men, 8 were economically active while the figure for women was just 4.Adding to this, the women  potential is reduced due to uneven wage structures. The average monthly salaries  in india, is meager 300$ or Rs.20000/-. We also take note here that, a world citizen's monthly average wage is $1500(Rs.1lac/month) while an Indian citizen's monthly average wage is $300(Rs.20000/-).

 

We must answer for these desperate facts and sorrowful situation that slows our growth… ..,
·        out of total 20 crore rural households, almost 90% rural households have incomes of less than Rs.10,000/ month and 75% households (14 crore households or 70 crore indians) earn less than Rs.5,000/month.
What it means?
You know, Rs.5,000 per month per household with an average household size of five would also mean an income of Rs.33 per person per day in the rural areas. we must digest this bitter truth and find the answers for this ghastly fact that 70 crore indian’s daily income is just Rs.33/- & 10crore households are live in kuchcha houses.
·        35%(7crore) of households do not have mobile phones or any form of communication.
·        More than 7crore rural households face some form of exclusion, either from assets or socio-economic benefits,
Even though ,govt implements few welfare  Projects such as Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA), National Rural Livelihoods Mission (NRLM), Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojna (PMGSY) and Swachh Bharat Mission,Rural India continues to be trapped in a vicious circle of poverty.
  
In 2013, the median annual  income at Rs.45000/-was around 60% lower than the mean income or the per capita income at Rs.95000/- . you see if we consider only the per capita income,its misleading us to conclude that every Indian citizen’s annual income is 95000/-. But in reality its not like that. It’s just 12000/- to Rs.45000/-.
This is indeed a great cause of worry. 

What is the cause and who are the main culprits for this socioeconomic havoc?
It’s an open secret that the difference of income is polarized towards very few powerful hands i.e. black money hoarders. Roughly 75% of this black (since  independence) converted in to mainly real estate, gold, luxurious goods and services and institutes of costly professional courses and companies and the remaining 25% is in the form of currency of various countries hoarded in our country and also in those tax haven countries. 

That’s why modi concentrated initially on the currency form of the illicit money. IDS and the present big note demonetization are two such steps.
Then as a second step he is going to target on real estate and gold, by notifying the binami transaction act and real estate regulation act and gold monetization &regulation acts.

Indian companies are reportedly misusing public trusts for money laundering. India has no centralized repository ( like the registrar of companies for corporate) of information about  public trusts. That’s  why modi already has clamped the funding tunnels of about 10000  suspicious trusts.

So, in this trans formative process, the majority of the public whose livelihood depending on daily cash transactions going to hit hard for short period along with reduction in national GDP for a few months.

so, what steps have to be taken to mitigate the travails of the common man?
1. Turn towards less cash transactions by encouraging the e-pos machine installation at all vendors of goods&services ( from road side vendors to hospitals to kirana shops)  and allowing card transactions without any fees.
2. By  encouraging the youth and educated citizens to turn completely towards digital transactions through various types of interfaces- UPI,IMPS,Mobile wallet,vodafone M-pisa,Airtel Money,Chillr etc....
3. At rural level- train the VRO&VAO&Panchayat secretaries and DWACRA groups, ASHA and ANGANWADI workers to use the IMPS through feature phones,the count of which exceeds almost 80 crores in our country.
4. Cash transactions may only be limited to goods and services of the unorganized sector ( to masons,plumbers&electricians,carpenters,farm labour,rural  vendors) 

Demonetization of big notes and voluntary disclosure of unaccounted money are two types of schemes usually adopted by our govts every 10years since independence to ease the load of dirty money in the economical system. 
But in the past, the impacts of demonetization was very meager, as the component of the canceled notes was very little fraction of the total currency circulated at that time. But now, 86% of the circulating currency is demonetized ,the impact is severe  on hoarders of Black money  along with economy and GDP of the country and common man, who is suffering with cash crunch. 

when there are no ATMs, no net banking,no phone banking,no internet,no communication facilities except radio, the demonitization process announced by Morarjee Desai over  the advises of vaanchoo committe has given very little impact on the economy as well as black money hoarders.

Effects of  Demonitization
  • Demonitization Improves fiscal resources for the government and also has a positive impact for the RBI's balance sheet.
  • There is likely to be some gain in direct tax collections as people deposit cash and get taxed on the higher income that they are forced to declare.
  •  The flipside, however, is that the last two quarters of this fiscal will see some dent in demand, which could have a bearing on the indirect tax collections. So, on a net basis, the government's tax revenues may not significantly rise in fiscal 2017.
what other measures could be done to control the black money?
  • constant scrutinizing of foreign currency accounts, benami property, under-invoicing/ over-invoicing in trading, 
  • strict implementation of GST will definitely bring in more transparency. 
  • widen the tax rate, lower the rate, make the interface frictionless,
  •  focus on disinvestment. 
  • Parliament should pass a law mandating that all donations to parties be made digitally.
  • And most importantly,digital transactions must be encouraged at any cost.
How the digital skills can be imparted to vast uneducated people?

  • 1.         By using the services of students. 80 crore phones have been used by our people. Every student can train 3 people.
  • 2.     Every teacher in village can impart skills to 3 people.
  • 3.     Every Mee seva center,every cell phone  service  center can actively play major role.
What are some useful interfaces?
Unlike NEFT, where the transfers are executed in batches every hour, resulting in a lag, IMPS transfers are instantaneous and is available at all times, throughout the year. 

Mobile wallets: open and closed type.
out of India's 1.2 billion people, only around 24crore  have bank accounts and 25 crorehave recently opened jan dhana accounts..

Amongst that massive unbanked population, many hundreds of millions have mobile phones, and for them, mobile money/wallet is likely to be hugely beneficial.

 Open wallets are the ones that allow you to buy goods and services, withdraw cash at ATMs or banks and transfer funds. These services can only be jointly launched with a bank. M-Pesa by Vodafone and ICICI is one such example.

Major difference between Chillr & PayTm (or any other wallet for that matter) is that Chillr unlike wallets links directly to your bank account. While using Chillr, you don’t have to move money from your account to top-up the wallet balance before a transaction. All transactions happen directly between bank accounts. It makes the transactions easier.
we can still use net banking or cash or card. Plus, there is a limit to the amount you can deposit in mobile wallets and daily spend, which means mobile wallets are useless for high value payments.but they are most handy for majority of Indians,especially of  rural areas.
"Let us move to a society in which cash is used less frequently, and mainly for small transactions, will have a positive impact on corruption by public officials, terrorism financing, the drug trade, tax evasion, human trafficking, informal employment, money laundering and extortion".

Wishing all success to Modi and indian citizens...
Jai Hind.


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